Conflict Tracker

Iran War Impact on Petrochemical Markets

Monitoring war-related outages, force majeures, and production reductions across the global petrochemical supply chain. This page is updated regularly as new developments emerge.

94 Events Tracked
24 Countries Affected
5 Sectors
Updated June 8, 2026

Event Tracker

Click a sector to expand. Scroll horizontally inside each table to see all columns.

CountryCompany / OperatorAsset / ComplexEvent TypeMagnitude / ScopePE/PP Read-Through
QatarQatarEnergyRas Laffan LNG trains S4 and S6
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
2 of 14 LNG trains damaged; 12.8 mtpa LNG offline for 3-5 yearsTightens global gas/NGL/LPG and regional petrochemical feedstock balance
QatarShell / QatarEnergyPearl GTL, Ras Laffan
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
Pearl GTL halted; damaged GTL unit repair estimated up to about 1 yearReduces associated liquids output and deepens regional hydrocarbon tightness
QatarQatarEnergyRas Laffan export system / LNG operations
FORCE MAJEURE
LNG operations suspended on March 2; force majeure declared March 4; Reuters says disruption threatened ~20% of global L…Severe indirect support for PE/PP through feedstock, power and freight stress
IranNIOC / Iranian gas systemSouth Pars gas field
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
South Pars and nearby hub struck; field accounts for roughly 70–75% of Iran's gas productionHigh risk to Iranian petrochemical operating rates, especially gas-based chains.
IranIranian gas / petrochemical systemAsaluyeh processing hub
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
Physical strike confirmed; plant-by-plant downstream impact not publicly quantifiedMajor embedded risk to Iranian olefins and polymer production
UAEADNOC / ADNOC GasShah gas field
OPERATIONS SUSPENDED
Operations suspended; field supplies at least 500 mmcfd to domestic gridTightens domestic gas balance and raises utility/feedstock risk for UAE industry
UAEADNOC GasHabshan gas processing complex
SHUTDOWN
Temporary shutdown reported at 6.1 bscfd complex; later returned to serviceShows fragility of UAE gas backbone supporting downstream chains
UAEADNOCBab oil field
CONFIRMED TARGET
Target hit; Reuters said UAE output had more than halved in one roundup, but field-specific loss not isolatedTightens crude availability and refinery feedstock
IraqBasra Oil Company / IraqSouthern oil system
FORCE MAJEURE
Basra output cut to 900,000 bpd from 3.3 million bpd; other Reuters roundup cites southern output down about 70%Tightens crude slate for Asia and worsens naphtha availability for crackers
Saudi ArabiaSaudi oil systemNational output / export routing
PRODUCTION CUT
Output reportedly cut by about 2 million bpd to around 8 million bpd; exports rerouted toward Red SeaDirectly supportive for tighter refinery and petrochemical feedstocks
UAEFujairah terminal systemFujairah export hub
ATTACK
Repeated attacks, partial loading halts, and reduced operating capacity; normally handles >1 million bpd of Murban crudeMajor freight/logistics stressor and key non-Hormuz outlet impairment
Gulf regionRegional / global shippingStrait of Hormuz
DISRUPTION
Shipping nearly stopped after closure declaration on March 2; about one-fifth of global oil and LNG normally transits Ho…Single most important logistics event for global PE/PP feedstocks and resin trade
OmanAPM Terminals / Maersk / Port of SalalahPort of Salalah
SHUTDOWN
Operations halted after security incident on 2026-03-28; Maersk expected suspension of around 48 hoursSalalah is a key rerouting and transshipment node while Gulf flows are disrupted
MultipleRegional container-port network / LinerlyticaSalalah, Khor Fakkan and Mundra congestion cluster
DISRUPTION
Heavy congestion reported at Salalah, Khor Fakkan and Mundra; increased traffic also noted at Fujairah, Sohar and DuqmPolymers move in containers; congestion can delay pellet exports even where plant output is availabl…
IranMultiple (Mahshahr PSEZ)Mahshahr Petrochemical Special Economic Zone
STRIKE
Multiple explosions across Mahshahr petrochemical zone on 2026-04-04; precise site-by-site damage still evolvingMahshahr accounts for ~27% of Iran’s ~94,000 kt/y petrochemical capacity; multiple PE/PP producing p…
IranPersian Gulf Fajr-e-Energy Co.Fajr 1 and Fajr 2 utility plants, Mahshahr PSEZ
CONFIRMED HIT
Direct hits reported on both Fajr 1 and Fajr 2; extent of physical damage not independently quantifiedUtility disruption could cascade into production halts at downstream resin plants across the Mahshah…
IranMultiple / NPC-linked producersAsaluyeh petrochemical complex
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
Strike hit Iran’s largest petrochemical complex; utility attacks cut power to all Asaluyeh units; AP said the complex ac…Second confirmed strike on Asaluyeh within three weeks; Iran’s petrochemical backbone now under sust…
IranMobin Energy Persian Gulf / Damavand EnergyAsaluyeh utilities and offsites
DISRUPTION
Mobin and Damavand supply electricity, water and oxygen to multiple Asaluyeh plants; utility destruction cascades into f…Utility-led outage mechanism mirrors Mahshahr Fajr hit; even undamaged Asaluyeh resin plants cannot …
IranMultiple (Mahshahr PSEZ)Petrochemical complex near Mahshahr, southwestern Iran
STRIKE
IDF confirmed strikes on several infrastructure sites within the complex; IRGC-run Fars News reported area was evacuated…Second confirmed strike on the Mahshahr petrochemical zone following the April 4 attack; reopens sup…
CountryCompany / OperatorAsset / ComplexEvent TypeMagnitude / ScopePE/PP Read-Through
BahrainBapcoSitra refinery
FORCE MAJEURE
380,000 bpd refinery; force majeure declared after attackImportant naphtha loss into regional and Asian balance
Saudi ArabiaSAMREFYanbu refinery
STRIKE
Strike on SAMREF reported; exact unit-level loss not publicly quantifiedTightens refinery-derived propylene and naphtha
Saudi ArabiaSaudi oil systemRas Tanura refinery
SUSPENDED
550,000 bpd refinery suspended at one stageAdds to regional refining losses and feedstock tightness
KuwaitKPCMina al-Ahmadi refinery
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
Operational unit hit; fire reported; exact run-loss not publicly quantifiedTightens refinery feedstocks for regional petrochemicals
KuwaitKPCMina Abdullah refinery
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
Operational unit hit; fire reported; exact run-loss not publicly quantifiedSame implication: tighter propylene and naphtha balances
Gulf regionMultipleGulf refining base
SHUTDOWN
Industry consultant IIR estimated about 1.9 million bpd of Gulf refining capacity shut by March 10Major direct support to both PE and PP through feedstock shortage
ChinaSinochemQuanzhou refinery
RUN CUT
300,000 bpd refinery cut to about 60%Direct feedstock hit to ethylene and co-product propylene production
ChinaSinopecNational March refinery run plan
PLANNED REDUCTION
Reuters reported >10% March throughput reduction, about 600,000-700,000 bpd versus planVery significant support for tighter Asian olefins and polymers
ChinaZhejiang PetrochemicalCrude unit
SHUTDOWN
200,000 bpd crude unit shut earlyLowers integrated feedstock supply
ChinaFujian Refining & Petrochemical (FREP)Smallest crude unit
SHUTDOWN
80,000 bpd crude unit shutAdds to Asian naphtha tightness
SingaporeSingapore Refining Co.Jurong refinery
RUN CUT
290,000 bpd site cut to about 60%Tightens both PE and PP precursor balances
SingaporeExxonMobilJurong refinery complex
RUN CUT
592,000 bpd site cut to around 50% or lower from >80%Material feedstock loss into regional chemicals chain
MalaysiaPrefchem (Petronas / Aramco JV)Pengerang crude unit
SHUTDOWN
300,000 bpd crude unit shut; >70% of seaborne crude imports had come via HormuzImportant Southeast Asia integrated feedstock hit
IndiaMRPLMangalore refinery
SHUTDOWN
300,000 bpd refinery had one crude unit and some secondary units shutTightens Indian and regional feedstock balances
VietnamBinh Son Refining & PetrochemicalDung Quat feedstock allocation
DISRUPTION
Requested priority for domestic crude and export limits through at least Q3Not an outage, but a clear indicator of feedstock stress
Saudi ArabiaSadara ChemicalJubail chemicals and plastics complex
SHUTDOWN
Production temporarily halted; complex capacity exceeds 3 million metric tons per year; ICIS has cited 3 LLDPE lines tot…Major Gulf chemicals/plastics outage already confirmed before the April 7 attack wave; important Dow…
MalaysiaPrefchem (Petronas / Aramco JV)Pengerang residual fluid catalytic cracker
SHUTDOWN
70,000 bpd residual FCC gasoline-making unit stopped operationsDeepens the Pengerang disruption beyond crude-unit shutdown and adds direct propylene/FCC stress
South KoreaSouth Korea government / Industry MinistryNational naphtha allocation and export controls
EXPORT BAN / SUPPLY-
Naphtha export ban took effect from 2026-03-27; officials also flagged synthetic resin shortages and possible export lim…Korean market has moved from margin pressure to emergency feedstock and resin-security management
BahrainGulf Petrochemical Industries Co. (GPIC)Sitra petrochemical / fertilizer complex
FIRE
Fire at operating units was brought under control; no injuries; damage assessment ongoing; GPIC makes methanol, ammonia …Captures Bahrain petrochemical-complex damage beyond the existing Bapco refinery row; Bahrain now af…
CountryCompany / OperatorAsset / ComplexEvent TypeMagnitude / ScopePE/PP Read-Through
ChinaSinochemQuanzhou cracker
RUN CUT
1.0 mtpa cracker cut to about 60% from about 85%Direct PE hit; secondary PP tightening through propylene
ChinaWanhua ChemicalTwo crackers
FORCE MAJEURE
FM declared to Middle East customers; two crackers totaling 2.2 mtpa ethylene were still running at high rates at time o…Commercial disruption now; physical supply risk still elevated
ChinaCNOOC / Shell Petrochemicals (CSPC)Huizhou cracker
SHUTDOWN
One 1.2 mtpa cracker planned shut at complex with two crackers totaling 2.2 mtpaLarge direct PE/PP precursor loss
South KoreaLG ChemYeosu No. 2 cracker
SHUTDOWN
800,000 tpy cracker temporarily shutDirect PE support; secondary PP support
South KoreaYeochun NCCNCC system
FORCE MAJEURE
Rate cut disclosed, but exact percentage not public in reviewed reportingStrongly supportive for PE and PP in Northeast Asia
JapanMitsui ChemicalsOsaka and Chiba ethylene operations
PRODUCTION CUT
Ethylene output reduced; exact magnitude not public in reviewed linesTightens PE chain
JapanMitsubishi ChemicalIbaraki ethylene operations
PRODUCTION CUT
Ethylene output reduced; exact magnitude not public in reviewed linesTightens PE chain
TaiwanFormosa PetrochemicalMailiao No. 2 and No. 3 crackers
FORCE MAJEURE
Both crackers at about 70%; combined capacity up to 1.335 mtpa ethylene; No. 1 already not operatingOne of the clearest direct PE disruptions in Asia
SingaporeAster Chemicals & EnergySingapore cracker
FORCE MAJEURE
1.1 mtpa cracker running at about 50%; Reuters explicitly cites affected ethylene and propyleneDirectly bullish both PE and PP
SingaporePCSPetrochemical shipments
FORCE MAJEURE
FM declared; exact operating loss not publicly quantifiedCommercial and logistical tightening
ThailandRayong Olefins / SCGRayong Olefins
FORCE MAJEURE
FM declared; exact units and rates not publicly quantifiedSupportive for tighter regional olefins balance
IndonesiaChandra AsriCompanywide contracts / feedstock chain
FORCE MAJEURE
FM declared March 2 on all contracts; rates recovered to ~75% by May; FM lifted May 4 after securing alternative feedsto…Key regional recovery signal — Indonesia's largest petrochemical producer returning toward normal op…
MalaysiaPrefchem (Petronas / Aramco JV)Pengerang steam cracker
SHUTDOWN
1.2 mtpa steam cracker expected to shut that week, according to Reuters-cited sourcesPengerang is one of Southeast Asia’s key integrated olefins sites
ChinaFujian Gulei PetrochemicalFujian Gulei full complex
SHUTDOWN
Full complex shut through April, including 1.1 mtpa steam crackerAdds another direct China ethylene loss and confirms stress is broadening inside China
ChinaZhenhai Refining and ChemicalZhenhai steam crackers
RUN CUT
Both steam crackers cut to about 70%-80% of combined 2.2 mtpa capacityMaterial China run-cut reinforcing the move to preserve fuels at the expense of petrochemicals
ChinaFujian Refining & PetrochemicalFREP steam cracker
RUN CUT
1.1 mtpa steam cracker cut by roughly 20%-30%Adds direct PE-chain stress and secondary PP tightening
South KoreaLotte ChemicalYeosu complex
SHUTDOWN
Operations shut from 2026-03-27; 1.1 mt/y cracker partially restarted at ~65% in April, recovering to ~72% by MayPartial recovery at one of Korea's largest PE/PP-producing complexes; still running well below namep…
VietnamLong Son Petrochemicals (LSP) / SCG ChemicalsLong Son integrated petrochemical complex
SUSPENDED
SCG disclosed on 2026-04-22 that LSP will suspend operations in or around mid-May 2026; attempts to source feedstock out…Large integrated Southeast Asia complex going offline, 1 mtpa of PE (HDPE + LLDPE) and 400 kt/y PP r…
ThailandIRPCIRPC Rayong complex
RUN CUT
320 kt/y ethylene capacity reduced in March; recovered in April; operating stably by MayThai cracker recovery adds to Southeast Asia feedstock normalization; supports regional PE/PP supply…
South KoreaGS Caltex (GSC)GSC cracker
RUN CUT
900 kt/y cracker at 60-70% through March-April; recovering to 70-75% by MayGradual Korean cracker recovery; still running ~25-30% below nameplate
South KoreaHanwha Solutions / HDCHDC cracker
RUN CUT
850 kt/y cracker at 65-70% through March-April; recovering to ~80% by MayStrongest recovery among major Korean crackers; nearing normal operating rates
South KoreaHyundai Chemical (HTC)HTC cracker
RUN CUT
1.55 mt/y cracker at ~80% in April; above 80% by MayKorea's largest cracker showing steady improvement; material ethylene volume
South KoreaKorea Petrochemical Ind. Co. (KPIC)KPIC cracker
RUN CUT
900 kt/y cracker at ~65% in April; recovering to ~72% by MayGradual recovery still well below nameplate; Korean olefins supply remains tight
CountryCompany / OperatorAsset / ComplexEvent TypeMagnitude / ScopePE/PP Read-Through
IranMultipleAsaluyeh / South Pars and Mahshahr PSEZ petrochemical systems
CONFIRMED DAMAGE
Strikes confirmed at both Asaluyeh and Mahshahr hubs; named plant-level damage at Mahshahr now itemized separately belowIran’s two largest petrochemical zones both struck; combined capacity at risk exceeds 57,000 kt/y
IranRejal Petrochemical Co.Rejal petrochemical complex, Mahshahr PSEZ
REPORTED HIT
180 kt/y PP capacity at risk; detailed damage extent still unclearDirect named PP unit outage in Iran; 180 kt/y is a meaningful volume
IranAmir Kabir Petrochemical Co.Amir Kabir complex, Mahshahr PSEZ
REPORTED HIT
1,757 kt/y total capacity; conflicting reports - local sources said hit, Anadolu said no damage reportedIf confirmed, one of the largest named PE outages from the Iran strikes (~700 kt/y PE at risk)
IranBandar Imam Petrochemical ComplexBandar Imam complex, Mahshahr PSEZ
PARTIAL DAMAGE
Iran’s largest petrochemical complex with 6,555 kt/y total capacity; partial damage confirmed in multiple reportsDirect PE/PVC capacity at risk; partial damage to Iran’s flagship petrochemical complex
IranTabriz Petrochemical Co.Tabriz petrochemical complex, Tabriz
REPORTED HIT
Part of industrial facilities struck; company said fire was contained; separate from Mahshahr (northern Iran)PS/ABS/EPS production disruption at a major non-Mahshahr site; widens the geographic spread of Irani…
TaiwanFormosa Petrochemical / integrated chainMailiao downstream resin chain
SECONDARY RISK
Crackers at 70%; likely constrains downstream resin rates, though exact PE/PP reactor rates not publicly broken outHighly relevant for export resin supply
SingaporeAster / integrated chainSingapore downstream derivatives
SECONDARY RISK
Cracker at 50%; FM on ethylene and propylene suppliesResin chain tightening very likely
South KoreaYeochun NCC / LG Chem / regional chainYeosu cluster
SECONDARY RISK
Confirmed cracker curtailment and FM upstream of resin unitsStrong upward pressure on PE/PP balances
ChinaMultipleMultiple integrated systems
CHAIN TIGHTENING
Multiple refinery/cracker cuts and FM notices across ChinaChina becomes more vulnerable to import reliance
MultipleMultipleNamed PDH roster (public reporting gap)
COVERAGE GAP NOTE
No robust public Reuters roster of named war-related PDH shutdowns found in reviewed coveragePP risk is clearly confirmed through refinery, FCC, and cracker disruption even without a clean name…
IndiaIndia government / multiple producersNational gas allocation and LPG diversion
GAS CURBS / FEEDSTOC
Gas curbs ordered on 2026-03-09; hydrocarbon streams redirected from petrochemicals to LPG; some refinery gas allocation…Key India system row explaining why direct PE/PP units later shut
IndiaGAILPata HDPE and LLDPE units
SHUTDOWN
HDPE and LLDPE units shut since 2026-03-10; GAIL Pata PE nameplate totals 810,000 MT/annum across listed HDPE/LLDPE unit…Rare direct disclosure of named PE reactor outages tied to the war-related gas crisis
IndiaIndian Oil CorpParadip PP unit
SHUTDOWN
PP unit at Paradip shut amid propylene shortages; IndianOil describes the Paradip PP unit as 700 KTADirect named PP unit outage in India; a world-scale line
South KoreaUnnamed South Korean plastic film producerPlastic film factory
PRODUCTION CUT
Factory reported production cut to roughly 20%-30% of usual output as some suppliers ran out of stock and raised prices …PE shortage is now transmitting visibly into downstream converting
FranceElydanEuropean pipe-manufacturing network
FORCE MAJEURE
Asian suppliers in Vietnam and Thailand reportedly declared force majeure and could no longer ship raw materials; Elydan…Europe’s downstream polymer consumers are now being hit by Asia-origin force majeure spillovers
GermanyGerman chemical sector / Ifo surveyNational chemical sector
DISRUPTION
Business confidence fell to -25.0 in March; Ifo warned some production sites may be at risk as plastics and polymer pric…Credible sector-level signal that the supply shock is severe enough to threaten European production …
BrazilBrazil plastics processors / AbiplastBrazilian resin market and downstream converters
SHORTAGE WARNING / P
Resin prices reported up more than 50%; downstream groups warned shortages could reach food packaging and grain storageDisruption is now global and no longer confined to Gulf/Asia operating assets
IndiaIndia governmentCustoms duty relief on petrochemical imports
IMPORT-DUTY EXEMPTIO
Import tax on 40 petrochemical products removed through 2026-06-30 after local chemicals were diverted to LPG productionIndia disruption large enough to trigger emergency trade-policy relief for downstream plastics users
Saudi ArabiaAdvanced Petrochemical CompanyPP supply to Asia
FORCE MAJEURE
Company issued force majeure on polypropylene supplies to Asia with immediate effect; buyer notices cited expected durat…Commercial disruption directly relevant to PP availability into Asia
GCC (unspecified)Unnamed GCC-based PE supplierGCC export PE supply
FORCE MAJEURE
One major GCC-based PE supplier declared force majeure with no end-date specified; material shipped outside GCC through …Points to undercaptured Middle East PE export disruption in the tracker
ChinaCNOOC and Shell Petrochemicals Co. (CSPC)Huizhou polyethylene shipments
FORCE MAJEURE
In notice to a local customer, PE supplies were suspended for an unspecified period from 2026-03-05 because of facility …More concrete resin-level confirmation; explicitly suspended polyethylene shipments from Huizhou
South KoreaHanwha SolutionsPolyolefin supply to customers
FORCE MAJEURE
Hanwha warned customers on 2026-03-13 that it may delay supply of polyolefin due to feedstock shortages; no unit-specifi…Named polyolefin signal from Korea even though it stops short of a confirmed reactor shutdown
Saudi ArabiaTasnee / SEPCSaudi Ethylene and Polyethylene Co. (SEPC), Al-Jubail
FORCE MAJEURE
Tasnee (via marketing arm TM) declared force majeure on 2026-04-21 covering SEPC-produced HDPE, LDPE, and PE compounding…~800 kt/y of named Jubail PE capacity expected to be off-market; would add to existing Saudi PE tigh…
Saudi ArabiaAdvanced Petrochemical CompanyJubail I and Jubail II PP plants, Jubail Industrial City
FORCE MAJEURE
Both Jubail PP plants temporarily shut down per ChemOrbis industry sources, ~1,280 kt/y offline; company informed custom…Escalates the earlier 2026-03-10 Advanced Petrochemical Co. FM into a confirmed two-plant shutdown; …
IranMarun Petrochemical Co.Marun petrochemical complex
SHUTDOWN
400 kt/y EG unit shut down end of March; restarted end of AprilEG unit restart signals partial recovery of Iran's downstream ethylene chain; 400 kt/y is material E…
IranMorvarid Petrochemical Co.Morvarid petrochemical complex
SHUTDOWN
500 kt/y EG unit shut down in March; restarted end of AprilTogether with Marun restart, 900 kt/y of Iranian EG capacity returning; reduces pressure on ethylene…
CountryCompany / OperatorAsset / ComplexEvent TypeMagnitude / ScopePE/PP Read-Through
Saudi ArabiaSABIC / MultipleJubail Industrial City
STRIKE
Ballistic missiles and drones hit Jubail Industrial City on 2026-04-06, causing large fires; Reuters verified smoke and …Physical strike on the world’s largest petrochemical hub; SABIC’s >1 million mt/y PE capacity direct…
UAEADNOCAl Hosn gas field
ELEVATED RISK
Threat named publicly; physical damage not clearly confirmed in reviewed Reuters piecesImportant because of gas-backbone role
QatarMesaieed systemMesaieed Petrochemical Complex / Mesaieed Holding
ELEVATED RISK
Threat named publicly; damage not clearly confirmed in reviewed Reuters piecesLarge latent polymer risk
QatarMultipleRas Laffan broader industrial footprint
CONFIRMED HIT
Broader complex threatened and partly evacuated; some components clearly damaged, others not fully itemized publiclyOngoing instability across one of the world’s most important hydrocarbon hubs
IranBuali Sina Petrochemical Co.Buali Sina complex, Mahshahr PSEZ
REPORTED AFFECTED
Listed in some local reporting as among affected Mahshahr facilities; not independently confirmed; name variants include…Aromatics chain (PX, benzene) disruption affects downstream plastics (PET, PS, nylon); adds to Iran’…
Saudi ArabiaKEMYA (SABIC / ExxonMobil JV)KEMYA complex, Jubail Industrial City
STRIKE
IRGC said an Exxon-linked Jubail facility was targeted; best public fit is KEMYA (SABIC/ExxonMobil 50-50 JV); Exxon list…If confirmed, adds a named PE producer to the Jubail damage roster alongside broader SABIC impacts
Saudi ArabiaChevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem)CPChem-linked assets, Jubail
STRIKE
CPChem stated its Saudi facilities were not directly impacted; rebuttal followed IRGC claims of Jubail targeting; exposu…No confirmed PE loss from CPChem; but proximity to confirmed Jubail strikes keeps risk elevated

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